Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 3.857429 4.127814 4.416174 4.748034 5.121234 5.530112 6.014929
2025-07-20 3.474901 3.859930 4.296375 4.833675 5.485847 6.263408 7.279071
2025-07-27 3.251242 3.704807 4.241269 4.934859 5.827124 6.965650 8.581145
2025-08-03 3.047530 3.537933 4.136523 4.939935 6.022121 7.482545 9.709680
2025-08-10 2.849305 3.354042 3.984927 4.856480 6.074074 7.794581 10.586094
2025-08-17 2.667945 3.174644 3.819886 4.732066 6.044971 7.973270 11.276099
2025-08-24 2.534102 3.045551 3.708209 4.665617 6.083701 8.247487 12.165135
2025-08-31 2.457074 2.984467 3.680591 4.710496 6.285412 8.795632 13.650941
2025-09-07 2.377158 2.913650 3.633177 4.719975 6.429769 9.265943 15.109194
2025-09-14 2.254093 2.777527 3.486183 4.569868 6.304358 9.253451 15.580088
2025-09-21 2.159816 2.676285 3.382508 4.476800 6.261092 9.378247 16.377941
2025-09-28 2.079710 2.590839 3.296473 4.403893 6.242762 9.543355 17.311553
2025-10-05 2.015500 2.527099 3.241612 4.380619 6.315120 9.908284 18.902685
2025-10-12 1.982784 2.506481 3.248764 4.456115 6.568330 10.676666 21.897271
2025-10-19 1.955875 2.492434 3.264146 4.545005 6.854818 11.571589 25.777908
2025-10-26 1.909461 2.447783 3.230478 4.549461 6.983824 12.148960 29.029004
2025-11-02 1.847314 2.377526 3.154058 4.476171 6.955370 12.358409 31.104556
2025-11-09 1.780490 2.298012 3.059914 4.366739 6.845679 12.355812 32.366272
2025-11-16 1.729576 2.240366 2.997373 4.308205 6.832195 12.590095 34.843349
2025-11-23 1.704030 2.219522 2.991362 4.347744 7.021537 13.381098 40.699564
2025-11-30 1.673033 2.189249 2.968847 4.356092 7.146495 14.032038 46.709911
2025-12-07 1.613465 2.113890 2.871368 4.223757 6.958877 13.776203 47.063317
2025-12-14 1.567338 2.057801 2.803132 4.141551 6.874150 13.806522 49.435582